Monday, November 14, 2016

My Investment Record (31) - 30th September 2016 & 31st October 2016

Current Return and performance
For September, 
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the September (1st Sept 2016 - 30th Sept 2016) is -1.23% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is -0.39%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is 2.49%, annualized to be 0.60%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 15.33% (annualized, 3.55%

For October 2016,

The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st October 2016 - 31st October 2016) is 1.50% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 3.06%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is5.61%, annualized to be 1.32%, this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 17.06% (annualized, 3.85%

Trading Activities

1. Addition of Symphony Life 1538, the company 960 million unbilled sale will start to contribute to bottom line earning, most likely starting at next financial year. The stock is at its 5 years low, while the asset is 30% higher than 5 years ago, with large portion of land yet to re-evaluate. I see it with limited downside but potentially high upside. 

Past Year Review (Sept 2015 - August 2016)
I started off my investment journey in Bursa Saham back in sept 2012. 
From an initial size of 48,000, i keep pumping all my savings, leftover salary/bonus into the portfolio. 
The four years journey had seen some wide swing in the return rate, with variance higher than KLCI's
The overall results can be refer to at below table, 

absolute (RM)
1st year Sept 12 - Aug 13 281 -1.09%
2nd year Sept 13 - Aug 14 30,770 25.43%
3rd year Sept 14 - Aug 15 -48,649 -21.38%
4th year Sept 15 - Aug 16 15,529 5.49%
However, for this year (Sept 2015 - August 2016)
Average Capital employed : RM 251K
Total dividend received during the period : RM 7,907.
Average dividend yield : 3.14%

Share Ex-Date Dividend(sen)
CIMB 2015-09-21 3.00
MFCB 2015-09-22 3.00
Symphony Life 2015-09-23 5.00
Maybank 2015-10-08 24.00
Affin 2015-12-14 2.99
YOCB 2016-01-06 2.00
BJToto 2016-01-18 5.00
TWREIT 2016-02-15 3.73
Public Bank 2016-02-18 32.00
PADINI 2016-03-09 2.50
FIAMMA 2016-03-10 7.50
Coastal 2016-03-10 2.00
CIMB 2016-03-24 11.00
RHB  2016-04-11 12.00
Maybank 2016-05-04 30.00
Affin 2016-05-06 5.00
PADINI 2016-06-01 4.00
MFCB 2016-06-20 5.00
YOCB 2016-07-07 2.00
BJToto 2016-07-18 5.00
Public Bank 2016-08-10 26.00
TWREIT 2016-08-26 3.20

Saturday, September 10, 2016

My Investment Record (30) - 31st July 2016 & 31st August 2016

Current Return and performance

For July 2016,
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st July 2016 - 31st July 2016) is 0.25% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 1.53%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -3.54%, annualized to be -0.92%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 14.71% (annualized, 3.57%

For August 2016,
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st August 2016 - 31st August 2016) is 1.79% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 6.67%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is 2.89%, annualized to be 0.71%, this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 16.77% (annualized, 3.95%

Trading Activities

1. Addition of Symphony Life 1538, the company 960 million unbilled sale will start to contribute to bottom line earning, most likely starting at next financial year. 

2. Addition of MNRB (6459), it remain a tough year for MNRB as its reinsurance business suffer heavy claim and had to made large provision for foreign claim liability. I explain the reasoning in my last post, i bought some at its lowest point (around RM2.45), then the 1st quarter results of the company came out good (with EPS per quarter around 15 sen), then the company quickly rebound to above RM3. I wouldn't say this is a good stock with good management, but given the industry characteristic, with right timing we can bough it undervalued. 

3. Selling of TOMEI (7230). The performance of the company had been disappointing, even though gold price had been recovering to above $1300 level. As i need some cash for other investment, selling non-performance stock will be the only choice. 


Summary of current holding
NoSecurity
1023CIMB
1066RHB CAP
1155Maybank
1295Public Bank
1538Symphony Life
1562BJ Totoe
3069MFCB
3719Panasonic May
5071Coastal
5111TWREIT
5150Msports
5150WAMsports warrant
5159YOCB
5185Affin
5189Maxwell
5189WAMaxwell warrant
6459MNRB
6939Fiamma
7052PADINI


Monday, July 11, 2016

My Investment Record (29) - 31st May 2016 & 30th June 2016

Current Return and performance

For May 2016,
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st May 2016 - 31st May 2016) is -2.5% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is -1.49%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -3.23%, annualized to be -0.87%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 12.15% (annualized, 3.11%

For June 2016,
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st June 2016 - 30th May 2016) is 2.03% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is -1.84%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -5.01%, annualized to be -0.49%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 14.43% (annualized, 3.58%

Trading Activities

1. Addition of Symphony Life 1538, the company 860 million unbilled sale will start to contribute to bottom line earning, most likely starting at next financial year. 

2. Addition of MNRB (6459), it remain a tough year for MNRB as its reinsurance business suffer heavy claim and had to made large provision for foreign claim liability. However consider this, the NAV per share is current RM 6++, even if its only earn mediocre return (say like 5%) on its net asset, it will mean more than 30 sen guarantee EPS. For insurance company, there will be time where the net claim & underwriting expense of insurance exceed the total gross earn premium. However, the company should adjust the insurance premium accordingly until at the long run, the gross earn premium equal to underwriting expense + net claim. In that case, the return on the Net Asset (NAV) is almost guaranteed. 

3. Addition of Maybank (1155), despite disappointing first quarter result, i remain optimistic that banking stocks are undervalued compared to other sectors and when time come for valuation adjustment, there could be room for profit. 

4. Addition of  Berjaya Toto (1562), with a lower entry price (around RM2.9) and a rebounce in latest quarter earning, BJ toto current valuation looks attractive again. 

Other
I had to admitted that i may have made some mistake in investing in two china based stock (MSPORT and MAXWELL), i shall cover more in details when the latest corporate events are unfold accordingly. 

Summary of current holding
No Security
1023 CIMB
1066 RHB CAP
1155 Maybank
1295 Public Bank
1538 Symphony Life
1562 BJ Totoe
3069 MFCB
3719 Panasonic May
5071 Coastal
5111 TWREIT
5150 Msports
5150WA Msports warrant
5159 YOCB
5185 Affin
5189 Maxwell
5189WA Maxwell warrant
6459 MNRB
6939 Fiamma
7052 PADINI
7230 TOMEI

Saturday, May 14, 2016

My Investment Record (28) - 30th April 2016

Market Overview

KLCI retreat from 1717.58 at start of April back to 1672.72pt. Reflecting weaker investment sentiment as Fed probably raising rate again (hence stronger US dollar) and crisis of 1MDB may not able to service its bond. 

Current Return and performance

The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st April 2016 - 30th Aril 2016) is -2.33% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 0.24%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -1.77%, annualized to be -0.49%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 15.03% (annualized, 3.89%

Trading Activities

1. Addition of Symphony Life 1538, the company 730 million unbilled sale will start to contribute to bottom line earning, most likely starting at next financial year. 

2. Addition of PADINI (7052), with recent surge in performance (revenue) the company is trading around price earning ratio of 10 when i bought in. 

Summary of current holding


Sunday, April 17, 2016

My Investment Record (27) - 29th February 2016 & 31st March 2016

Market Overview

KLCI end flat at  end of February  at 1661.98. However,  following recovery of oil price and the sign that Fed is slowing its pace of raising interest rate, klci advance to 1717.58 at end of March. 


Current Return and performance

For February 2016, 
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st February 2016 - 29th February 2016is -0.49% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is -0.97%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -3.76%annualized to be -1.09%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 13.14% (annualized, 3.59%

For March 2016, 
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st March 2016 - 31st March 2016) is 4.09% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 1.84%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -1.99%, annualized to be -0.56%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 17.77% (annualized, 4.67%

Trading Activities

1. Selling of  Berjaya Toto (1562), latest quarterly earning turn out to be weaker than expected, coupling with the weakening earning trend following implementation of GST, i decided to sell out realizing a small profit while waiting for the right price to back in.. 

2. Addition of MFCB (3069) through right issue, the electricity selling price for Don San Hong turn out to be 6.15 cent/kwh, results in revenue higher ($120 million) then initially estimated. (read here) It will be a good value adder in the long run, the only short term risk however is the project risk. 

3. Addition of MNRB (6459), it remain a tough year for MNRB as its reinsurance business suffer heavy claim and had to made large provision for foreign claim liability. However as in re-insurance business with higher volatility of earning, i will expect its earning to quickly bounce back. 

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

My Investment Record (26) - 31st December 2015 & 31st January 2015

Market Overview

KLCI continue its advance at end of december, ending up at 1685.36. However,  and 1672.16 pt at end of October & November respectively. However, following crumbling of oil price in january 2016, KLCI fall back to 1667.8 pt. 


Current Return and performance

For December 2015, 
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st December 2015 - 31st December 2015) is 1.08% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is 0.36%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is 0.72%annualized to be 0.22%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 14.56% (annualized, 4.16%

For January 2016, 
The estimated holding period return for KLCI in the past period (1st January 2016 - 30th January 2016) is -0.75% (with dividend included). Holding Period return for my portfolio, is -3.53%. Total holding period return for my portfolio since the inception is -2.82%, annualized to be -0.83%this is far lagged behind KLCI total return of 13.70% (annualized, 3.93%

Trading Activities

1. Addition of RHBCAP (1066), i hold the belief that compared with other bank's average P/E of around 10, RHBCAP projected P/E of 8-9 remain a good bargain in the market. 

2. Addition of Berjaya Toto (1562), a move represent the shift of my strategy to pursuing high dividend stocks.